Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Formspring Question #372--Michigan Mayhem Edition

Any chance of Democrats and left-leaning moderates swinging Michigan to Santorum?
Maybe, but you would have to accept that one of two things happened.

One, a significant group of Democrats decided to vote for Rick Santorem because they think he would be a weaker opponent for Barack Obama. An effort like that could not be put together on short notice. You would have to have some highly motivated Democrats feeling compelled to go out and vote in the Republican primary. I have a tough time seeing that happening, but I have no way to know how fired up politics in Michigan can be.

Two, the robocalls blasting Mitt Romney for opposing the auto bailout are enough to motivate democrats to run out and vote for Santorem. Again, I doubt the enthusiasm is there. Besides, it would be union members who would be most upset. Would they ever vote republican, even strategically? Doubtful.

I think speculation that democrats are going to cross over and vote for Santorem is the media’s way of stirring up some added drama. There is going to be a gap tonight in between the polls closing in Michigan and Arizona. The pundits need to have something to talk about and analyze to death or else they could wind up sitting with their thumbs up their butts waiting on the west coast. Arizona is, after all, expected to be a no surprises blowout for Romney, so that is going to be ultimately boring.

The bottom line is that if Santorem wins Michigan tonight, the odds he will have credit democrats are not that great.

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